There will be an election on November 5th for this seat, between following candidate(s). This is a table of the quantity of individual donors and the amounts they've contributed to the campaign(s) for this seat.
The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(48.5%)
2.5%
534
528
27
11/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1090
Lake(48.4%)
Gallego(47.8%)
3.8%
423
418
33
11/4/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 875
Gallego(50.1%)
Lake(45.2%)
4.7%
450
406
42
11/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 900
Gallego(49.7%)
Lake(47.0%)
3.3%
372
352
24
11/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 750
Gallego(49.3%)
Lake(47.2%)
3.5%
394
377
28
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(50.5%)
Lake(48.3%)
1.2%
404
386
9
11/3/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 801
Gallego(51.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
6%
522
440
61
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1025
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
5%
512
461
51
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1025
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
8%
333
279
53
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 666
Lake(49.1%)
Gallego(47.4%)
3.5%
474
458
33
11/2/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 967
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(46.0%)
Quintana(1.0%)
3%
305
280
6
18
11/2/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 610
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(47.0%)
3%
305
286
18
11/2/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 610
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
Quintana(2.0%)
3%
539
485
21
32
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1079
Lake(48.0%)
Gallego(48.0%)
4%
384
384
32
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
7%
419
376
59
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 856
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
6%
419
385
51
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 856
Gallego(54.3%)
Lake(45.7%)
217
182
11/1/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
Quintana(2.0%)
6%
372
341
15
46
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 775
Lake(48.6%)
Gallego(47.9%)
3.5%
488
481
35
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 1005
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(34.0%)
17%
288
200
100
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 589
Gallego(48.4%)
Lake(47.9%)
3.7%
705
698
53
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 1458
Lake(45.2%)
Gallego(44.5%)
Quintana(1.6%)
8.7%
248
244
8
47
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 550
Gallego(51.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
6%
398
335
46
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 781
Gallego(46.6%)
Lake(36.3%)
17.1%
538
419
197
10/29/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1155
Gallego(51.16%)
Lake(35.87%)
12.97%
432
303
109
10/29/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 846
Gallego(49.7%)
Lake(45.9%)
4.4%
543
502
48
10/27/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1094
Gallego(53.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
2%
632
536
23
10/24/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1193
Gallego(53.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
2%
632
536
23
10/24/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1193
Gallego(51.7%)
Lake(42.3%)
6%
206
169
24
10/22/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 400
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(45.8%)
4.2%
400
366
33
10/22/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
Quintana(2.0%)
9%
331
283
13
62
10/21/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 691
Gallego(49.7%)
Lake(46.2%)
4.09999999999999%
715
665
59
10/20/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 1440
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
6%
131
120
16
10/18/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 268
Gallego(54.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
1%
757
631
14
10/17/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1403
Gallego(52.0%)
Lake(40.0%)
8%
339
261
52
10/17/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 653
Gallego(47.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
Quintana(1.0%)
10%
536
479
11
114
10/16/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1141
Gallego(47.6%)
Lake(43.9%)
8.5%
518
478
92
10/14/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1090
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
11%
387
331
88
10/12/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 808
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(39.0%)
13%
387
315
105
10/12/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 808
Gallego(52.8%)
Lake(47.2%)
211
188
10/11/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(43.4%)
6.6%
500
434
66
10/10/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
Quintana(2.0%)
8%
288
252
12
48
10/8/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Gallego(51.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
5%
306
264
30
10/8/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Gallego(51.3%)
Lake(38.8%)
9.90000000000001%
377
285
72
10/8/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 735
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
Quintana(1.0%)
9%
266
233
5
49
10/7/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 555
Gallego(52.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
6%
407
328
46
10/7/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 783
Gallego(51.2%)
Lake(41.4%)
7.4%
256
207
36
10/4/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 500
Gallego(54.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
5%
220
167
20
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 409
Gallego(52.2%)
Lake(40.8%)
7%
480
375
64
10/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 920
Gallego(49.6%)
Lake(43.1%)
7.3%
396
344
58
10/3/24
Likely Voters
Text
Sample: 800
Gallego(49.8%)
Lake(45.7%)
4.5%
471
432
42
9/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 946
Gallego(46.6%)
Lake(40.6%)
Quintana(3.2%)
9.6%
233
203
16
47
9/27/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 500
Gallego(56.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
2%
427
320
15
9/27/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 764
Gallego(55.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
3%
420
320
22
9/27/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 764
Gallego(53.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
3%
669
556
37
9/26/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1264
Gallego(54.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
2%
682
556
25
9/26/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1264
Gallego(46.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
Quintana(1.0%)
12%
362
323
7
94
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 789
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
9%
356
292
64
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 713
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
8%
349
306
57
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 713
Gallego(52.59%)
Lake(39.03%)
8.38%
453
336
72
9/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 862
Gallego(48.2%)
Lake(42.2%)
9.59999999999999%
418
366
83
9/19/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 868
Gallego(47.2%)
Lake(43.0%)
9.8%
513
467
106
9/14/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1088
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
Quintana(1.0%)
9%
367
321
7
68
9/10/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 765
Gallego(49.09%)
Lake(41.05%)
9.86%
442
369
88
9/9/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 901
Gallego(47.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
9%
320
300
61
9/4/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 682
Gallego(49.4%)
Lake(44.9%)
5.7%
395
359
45
8/31/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(42.0%)
Lake(37.0%)
Quintana(2.0%)
19%
222
196
10
100
8/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 530
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(42.2%)
8.8%
352
303
63
8/29/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 720
Gallego(56.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
3%
567
415
30
8/28/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1014
Gallego(47.0%)
Lake(40.0%)
13%
471
401
130
8/29/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1003
Gallego(44.0%)
Lake(39.0%)
17%
260
230
100
8/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 592
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
10%
331
277
67
8/17/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 677
Gallego(51.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
7%
345
284
47
8/17/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 677
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(46.0%)
Norton(3.0%)
3%
288
276
18
18
8/16/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Lake(46.0%)
Gallego(46.0%)
8%
368
368
64
8/15/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(51.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
7%
221
182
30
8/15/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 435
Gallego(49.6%)
Lake(38.6%)
11.8%
248
193
58
8/8/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 500
Gallego(42.0%)
Lake(36.0%)
22%
238
204
124
8/6/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 567
Gallego(46.2%)
Lake(42.2%)
11.6%
369
337
92
7/25/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(42.0%)
9%
360
309
66
7/22/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 736
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(47.0%)
3%
298
280
17
7/22/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 596
Lake(44.0%)
Gallego(43.0%)
Quintana(3.0%)
10%
225
220
15
51
7/18/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 513
Lake(47.0%)
Gallego(47.0%)
6%
299
299
38
7/10/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 638
Quintana(9.0%)
Gallego(39.0%)
Lake(38.0%)
14%
54
234
228
84
6/21/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Gallego(45.4%)
Lake(40.8%)
13.8%
453
408
138
6/20/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
7%
288
270
42
6/12/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Gallego(44.1%)
Lake(37.5%)
18.4%
220
187
92
5/23/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 501
Gallego(47.6%)
Lake(39.3%)
13.1%
238
196
65
5/23/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 501
Gallego(46.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
13%
242
216
68
5/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 527
Gallego(46.0%)
Lake(36.0%)
18%
461
361
180
5/23/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1003
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(36.0%)
15%
579
425
177
5/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1183
Gallego(45.0%)
Lake(41.0%)
14%
281
256
87
5/13/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 626
Gallego(46.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
11%
287
269
68
5/13/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 626
Gallego(48.1%)
Lake(43.9%)
8%
264
241
44
5/7/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 550
Gallego(45.3%)
Lake(43.1%)
11.6%
452
431
116
4/30/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Gallego(39.0%)
Lake(34.0%)
Williams(10.0%)
17%
234
204
60
102
4/16/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Gallego(36.0%)
Lake(28.0%)
36%
181
140
181
4/2/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 503
Gallego(50.6%)
Lake(49.4%)
506
494
3/20/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Lake(45.0%)
Gallego(42.0%)
13%
450
420
130
2/28/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 1001
Lake(37.0%)
Gallego(33.0%)
Sinema(21.0%)
9%
370
330
210
90
2/28/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 1001
Gallego(47.0%)
Lake(37.0%)
16%
470
370
160
2/22/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1002
Gallego(34.0%)
Lake(31.0%)
Sinema(23.0%)
12%
340
310
230
120
2/22/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1002
Gallego(35.9%)
Lake(30.0%)
Sinema(20.6%)
13.5%
359
300
206
134
2/22/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Gallego(45.8%)
Lake(38.8%)
15.4%
457
387
154
2/22/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Lake(46.0%)
Gallego(44.0%)
10%
230
220
50
2/2/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text
Sample: 500
Lake(40.0%)
Gallego(39.0%)
Sinema(13.0%)
8%
200
195
65
40
2/2/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text
Sample: 500
Gallego(36.0%)
Lake(35.0%)
Sinema(17.0%)
12%
212
206
100
70
1/10/24
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 590
Lake(46.0%)
Gallego(45.0%)
9%
271
265
53
1/10/24
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 590
Lake(41.0%)
Gallego(35.0%)
Sinema(16.0%)
8%
284
242
111
55
12/19/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 694
Gallego(39.0%)
Lake(34.0%)
Sinema(17.0%)
10%
312
272
136
80
12/12/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 800
Gallego(39.0%)
Lake(33.0%)
Sinema(29.0%)
393
333
292
11/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1010
Gallego(36.0%)
Lamb(32.0%)
Sinema(32.0%)
363
323
323
11/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1010
Gallego(41.0%)
Lake(37.0%)
Sinema(17.0%)
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
11/7/23
No Classification
Sample: Not published
Gallego(49.0%)
Lake(44.0%)
7%
N/A
N/A
0
11/7/23
No Classification
Sample: Not published
Lake(37.0%)
Gallego(36.0%)
Sinema(15.0%)
12%
222
216
90
72
11/7/23
Likely Voters
Sample: 600
Gallego(46.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
11%
276
258
66
11/7/23
Likely Voters
Sample: 600
Lake(37.0%)
Gallego(33.0%)
Sinema(19.0%)
11%
148
132
76
44
10/10/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 400
Lake(44.0%)
Gallego(44.0%)
12%
176
176
48
10/10/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 400
Gallego(41.0%)
Lake(36.0%)
Sinema(15.0%)
8%
214
187
78
41
10/10/23
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 522
Gallego(40.0%)
Lamb(31.0%)
Sinema(16.0%)
13%
208
161
83
67
10/10/23
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 522
Gallego(41.0%)
Masters(31.0%)
Sinema(17.0%)
11%
214
161
88
57
10/10/23
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 522
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(43.0%)
9%
250
224
46
10/10/23
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 522
Gallego(35.5%)
Lamb(29.1%)
Sinema(20.6%)
14.8%
474
389
275
197
8/8/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 1337
Lamb(41.9%)
Gallego(41.7%)
16.4%
560
557
219
8/8/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 1337
Gallego(36.8%)
Sinema(26.0%)
Wright(25.0%)
12.2%
492
347
334
163
8/8/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 1337
Gallego(41.0%)
Wright(38.1%)
20.9%
548
509
279
8/8/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 1337
Gallego(34.0%)
Sinema(26.0%)
Lake(25.0%)
15%
340
260
250
150
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(32.0%)
Sinema(28.0%)
Masters(24.0%)
16%
320
280
240
160
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(33.0%)
Lamb(25.0%)
Sinema(24.0%)
18%
330
250
240
180
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(45.0%)
Lake(35.0%)
20%
450
350
200
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(44.0%)
Masters(36.0%)
20%
440
360
200
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(40.0%)
Lamb(36.0%)
24%
400
360
240
8/3/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(42.0%)
Lake(35.0%)
Sinema(14.0%)
9%
234
195
78
50
4/24/23
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 559
Gallego(43.0%)
Lamb(33.0%)
Sinema(15.0%)
9%
240
184
83
50
4/24/23
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 559
Gallego(43.0%)
Lamon(27.0%)
Sinema(16.0%)
14%
240
150
89
78
4/24/23
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 559
Gallego(34.0%)
Lake(26.0%)
Sinema(19.0%)
21%
340
260
190
210
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(33.0%)
Masters(24.0%)
Sinema(22.0%)
21%
330
240
220
210
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(31.0%)
Taylor Robson(24.0%)
Sinema(21.0%)
24%
310
240
210
240
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(32.0%)
Ducey(27.0%)
Sinema(17.0%)
24%
320
270
170
240
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(43.0%)
Lake(33.0%)
24%
430
330
240
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(43.0%)
Masters(32.0%)
25%
430
320
250
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(36.0%)
Taylor Robson(32.0%)
32%
360
320
320
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(38.0%)
Ducey(34.0%)
28%
380
340
280
2/16/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Gallego(50.0%)
Lake(45.0%)
5%
400
360
40
2/1/23
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Lake(36.0%)
Gallego(36.0%)
Sinema(24.0%)
4%
288
288
192
32
2/1/23
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Gallego(37.0%)
Ducey(31.0%)
Sinema(27.0%)
5%
296
248
216
40
2/1/23
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Lake(35.7%)
Gallego(31.9%)
Sinema(13.8%)
18.6%
220
197
85
114
1/11/23
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 618
Lake(41.0%)
Gallego(40.0%)
Sinema(13.0%)
6%
277
271
88
40
12/22/22
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 678
Gallego(48.0%)
Lake(47.0%)
5%
325
318
33
12/22/22
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 678