Election for Senate Seat: California / Butler

The following candidates are running for this seat. See below the financial summary data from their campaigns.

Contributions
Disbursements
Cash on Hand
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$19,208,310.80
$30,960,241.63
$576,674.02
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$34,129.00
$29,350.89
$4,778.12
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$6,192.73
$125.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$13,764.00
$11,090.84
$2,673.16
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$454,934.53
$456,534.53
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$6,192.73
$125.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$436.00
$3,495.00
$436.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$33,748,829.20
$51,348,262.34
$4,820,824.26
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$10,900.00
$16,894.85
$4,005.15
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$23,079.00
$23,079.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$692,294.23
$893,719.36
$4,514.07
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$300.00
$24,977.63
$6,240.77
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$100,399.99
$110,574.47
$842.27
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$11,726.75
$14,767.49
$770.90
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$5,043.79
$8,523.79
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$5,525,816.94
$3,921,776.50
$1,606,583.44
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$181,010.68
$152,659.29
$30,052.24
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$17,239.13
$25,489.13
$0.00

The following candidates have registered as candidates for this seat with the FEC, but have not filed reports that indicate they have raised substantial funds for the 2024 election.

Contributions
Disbursements
Cash on Hand
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$936.50
$16.62
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Ballotpedia Wikipedia Google News
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00

The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.

Schiff(61.0%)
Garvey(37.0%)
2%
661
401
21
4/11/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 1084
Schiff(53.0%)
Garvey(38.0%)
9%
1751
1255
297
3/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 3304
Schiff(30.0%)
Porter(30.0%)
40%
991
991
1321
3/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 3304
Porter(52.0%)
Garvey(38.0%)
10%
1718
1255
330
3/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 3304
Porter(37.0%)
Schiff(26.0%)
37%
222
156
222
David Binder Research • 538 grade: 1.7
1/10/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 600