There will be an election on November 5th for this seat, between following candidate(s). This is a table of the quantity of individual donors and the amounts they've contributed to the campaign(s) for this seat.
The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Scott(51.1%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.6%)
2.3%
204
186
9
11/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 400
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
7%
225
193
31
11/4/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 450
Scott(48.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.0%)
7%
970
909
141
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 2022
Scott(53.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.0%)
2%
239
203
9
11/2/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 452
Scott(49.1%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.2%)
Bonoan(1.5%)
Everidge(0.7%)
Nguyen(0.3%)
3.2%
294
271
9
4
1
19
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Scott(49.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.0%)
6%
536
492
65
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1094
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.0%)
4%
448
412
35
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web
Sample: 897
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.0%)
4%
448
412
35
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web
Sample: 897
Scott(55.2%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.8%)
220
179
10/28/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Scott(48.8%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.6%)
5.6%
598
559
68
10/28/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 1227
Scott(51.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.0%)
3%
313
282
18
10/25/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 614
Scott(52.8%)
Mucarsel-Powell(47.2%)
454
405
10/23/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 860
Scott(45.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(42.0%)
Bonoan(1.0%)
12%
573
535
12
153
10/21/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1275
Scott(51.9%)
Mucarsel-Powell(48.1%)
207
192
10/21/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Scott(49.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.0%)
5%
478
449
48
10/21/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 977
Scott(52.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
4%
409
346
31
10/18/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 788
Scott(45.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(42.0%)
Bonoan(2.0%)
11%
454
423
20
110
10/16/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1009
Scott(48.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
11%
300
256
68
10/13/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 625
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(48.0%)
2%
705
676
28
10/10/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1410
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(48.0%)
2%
705
676
28
10/10/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1410
Scott(48.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(39.0%)
13%
298
242
80
10/10/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 622
Scott(49.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(40.0%)
11%
304
248
68
10/10/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 622
Scott(44.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
Bonoan(1.0%)
14%
1296
1207
29
412
10/7/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 2946
Scott(50.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
6%
387
340
46
10/3/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 774
Scott(51.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
5%
612
528
60
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 1200
Scott(44.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
Bonoan(2.0%)
11%
355
347
16
88
9/30/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 808
Scott(47.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
9%
379
355
72
9/30/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 808
Scott(44.6%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.8%)
11.6%
267
262
69
9/30/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Scott(46.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
10%
276
264
60
9/24/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Scott(45.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
Bonoan(1.0%)
13%
720
656
16
208
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1602
Scott(53.9%)
Mucarsel-Powell(46.1%)
215
184
9/22/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Scott(46.38%)
Mucarsel-Powell(42.01%)
11.61%
1367
1238
342
9/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 2948
Scott(44.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
Bonoan(1.0%)
14%
644
600
14
205
9/10/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1465
Scott(46.89%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.55%)
11.56%
1492
1322
367
9/9/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 3182
Scott(45.8%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.8%)
9.40000000000001%
373
365
76
9/6/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 815
Scott(43.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(40.0%)
Bonoan(1.0%)
16%
365
340
8
136
8/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 850
Scott(51.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(44.0%)
5%
306
264
30
8/30/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Scott(47.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
12%
464
405
118
8/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 988
Scott(49.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
8%
484
424
79
8/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 988
Scott(46.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
Bonoan(2.0%)
9%
385
359
16
75
8/27/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 837
Scott(48.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(45.0%)
7%
401
376
58
8/27/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 837
Scott(47.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
10%
488
447
104
8/14/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1040
Scott(47.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
10%
488
447
104
8/14/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1040
Scott(52.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(42.0%)
6%
416
336
48
8/13/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Scott(47.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
10%
363
332
77
7/30/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 774
Scott(44.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(40.0%)
16%
339
308
123
6/12/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 771
Scott(45.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(43.0%)
12%
346
331
92
6/12/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 771
Scott(46.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(33.0%)
21%
483
346
220
6/11/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1050
Scott(45.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(37.0%)
18%
523
430
209
5/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1163
Scott(46.9%)
Mucarsel-Powell(35.6%)
17.5%
618
469
230
5/14/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Text
Sample: 1318
Scott(48.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(36.5%)
15.5%
632
481
204
5/14/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Text
Sample: 1318
Scott(54.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(39.0%)
7%
328
237
42
5/10/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 609
Scott(51.5%)
Mucarsel-Powell(35.1%)
13.4%
419
286
109
4/18/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 815
Scott(52.9%)
Mucarsel-Powell(35.7%)
11.4%
431
290
92
4/18/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 815
Scott(36.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(26.0%)
38%
365
263
385
4/14/24
Probability Panel
Sample: 1014
Scott(45.4%)
Mucarsel-Powell(38.1%)
16.5%
453
381
165
4/11/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Scott(44.0%)
Mucarsel-Powell(41.0%)
15%
347
323
118
3/5/24
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 790
Scott(45.0%)
Ehr(41.0%)
14%
584
532
181
7/25/23
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web/Online Ad
Sample: 1298