The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Alsobrooks(47.7%)
Hogan(37.9%)
14.4%
531
422
160
5/9/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1115
Trone(48.7%)
Hogan(37.6%)
13.7%
543
419
152
5/9/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1115
Alsobrooks(46.0%)
Hogan(37.0%)
17%
330
266
122
5/8/24
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 719
Trone(47.0%)
Hogan(37.0%)
16%
337
266
115
5/8/24
Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 719
Hogan(53.0%)
Trone(40.0%)
7%
684
516
90
4/16/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel
Sample: 1292
Hogan(54.0%)
Alsobrooks(36.0%)
10%
697
465
129
4/16/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel
Sample: 1292
Hogan(43.0%)
Trone(42.0%)
15%
344
336
120
4/2/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Hogan(44.0%)
Alsobrooks(40.0%)
16%
352
320
128
4/2/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Hogan(49.0%)
Trone(37.0%)
14%
491
371
140
3/20/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1004
Hogan(50.0%)
Alsobrooks(36.0%)
14%
502
361
140
3/20/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1004
Hogan(49.0%)
Trone(33.0%)
18%
294
198
108
2/21/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Hogan(52.0%)
Alsobrooks(29.0%)
19%
312
174
114
2/21/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Trone(42.3%)
Hogan(41.7%)
16%
423
417
160
2/15/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Hogan(44.4%)
Alsobrooks(36.8%)
18.8%
444
368
188
2/15/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Trone(49.0%)
Hogan(34.0%)
17%
398
276
138
2/11/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 813
Hogan(42.0%)
Alsobrooks(36.0%)
22%
341
292
178
2/11/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 813