The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2026, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Hawley(54.0%)
Kunce(43.0%)
3%
243
193
13
11/4/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 450
Hawley(49.0%)
Kunce(46.0%)
5%
294
276
30
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 600
Hawley(56.3%)
Kunce(43.7%)
225
174
10/28/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Hawley(50.6%)
Kunce(40.5%)
Kline(1.2%)
Young(0.6%)
Young(0.2%)
6.9%
313
251
7
3
1
42
10/25/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 620
Hawley(54.0%)
Kunce(46.0%)
216
184
10/2/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Hawley(46.0%)
Kunce(41.0%)
13%
569
507
160
9/17/24
Registered Voters
Text-to-Web/Online Ad
Sample: 1237
Hawley(51.2%)
Kunce(39.7%)
9.09999999999999%
435
337
77
9/17/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 850
Hawley(50.0%)
Kunce(46.0%)
Young(1.0%)
Young(1.0%)
2%
322
296
6
6
12
9/17/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 645
Hawley(52.0%)
Kunce(48.0%)
335
309
9/17/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 645
Hawley(52.0%)
Kunce(37.0%)
11%
424
301
89
9/10/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 816
Hawley(53.0%)
Kunce(42.0%)
5%
477
378
45
8/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 900
Hawley(46.8%)
Kunce(37.6%)
15.6%
468
376
156
6/21/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Hawley(53.0%)
Kunce(39.0%)
8%
377
278
57
3/11/24
Likely Voters
IVR
Sample: 713
Hawley(42.8%)
Kunce(30.4%)
26.8%
783
556
490
2/2/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 1830
Hawley(46.0%)
Kunce(42.0%)
12%
187
170
48
11/8/23
Registered Voters
Text
Sample: 407
Hawley(45.4%)
Kunce(32.0%)
22.6%
222
157
110
10/12/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 491
Hawley(43.9%)
Bell(34.4%)
21.7%
215
168
106
10/12/23
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 491