The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Cruz(46.0%)
Allred(33.0%)
21%
552
396
252
5/1/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1200
Cruz(46.0%)
Allred(41.0%)
Brown(4.0%)
9%
736
656
64
144
4/16/24
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web
Sample: 1600
Cruz(44.9%)
Allred(36.3%)
Brown(2.8%)
Cysewski(2.1%)
13.9%
449
363
27
21
139
4/11/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 1000
Cruz(51.0%)
Allred(45.0%)
4%
569
502
44
3/26/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text
Sample: 1117
Cruz(41.0%)
Allred(41.0%)
18%
478
478
210
2/29/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel
Sample: 1167
Cruz(46.0%)
Allred(32.0%)
22%
552
384
264
2/19/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1200
Cruz(45.0%)
Gutierrez(31.0%)
24%
540
372
288
2/19/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1200
Cruz(44.0%)
Allred(44.0%)
12%
355
355
96
2/15/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 807
Cruz(47.0%)
Gutierrez(42.0%)
11%
503
449
117
2/1/24
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web
Sample: 1071
Cruz(48.0%)
Brown(4.0%)
Allred(39.0%)
9%
549
45
446
103
2/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1145
Cruz(48.0%)
Brown(4.0%)
Gutierrez(38.0%)
10%
549
45
435
114
2/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1145
Cruz(41.9%)
Allred(40.1%)
18%
550
527
236
1/18/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1315
Cruz(41.0%)
Gutierrez(40.4%)
18.6%
539
531
244
1/18/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1315
Cruz(43.0%)
Allred(27.0%)
30%
516
324
360
12/19/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1200
Cruz(42.0%)
Gutierrez(26.0%)
32%
504
312
384
12/19/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1200
Cruz(47.0%)
Allred(40.0%)
13%
470
400
130
5/24/23
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1000
Cruz(42.0%)
Allred(37.0%)
21%
593
522
296
5/24/23
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel
Sample: 1413