There will be an election on November 5th for this seat, between following candidate(s). This is a table of the quantity of individual donors and the amounts they've contributed to the campaign(s) for this seat.
The following polls have been published for this seat. Click a poll to see more information about it. Please take note that in any given poll there are often many undecided voters(marked in grey). The more undecided voters there are, the less definitive I would say the poll is. Also be mindful of the methodology, the sample size, the grade the pollster has with FiveThirtyEight, and the age of the poll. I say all this because in 2024, polls have become a patently unreliable source of data, but even so, they have an outsized effect on the general level of news coverage, pundit assessment, and even fundraising for any given race. That said, I still believe it is possible to read valuable data from polls, if you know what to look for. The bottom line is that polls should absolutely not be taken as gospel. They are a tool in the psephologist's toolbox.
Baldwin(48.8%)
Hovde(47.9%)
3.3%
424
416
28
11/4/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 869
Baldwin(47.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
8%
375
359
63
11/4/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel/Text
Sample: 798
Baldwin(47.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
8%
375
359
63
11/4/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel/Text
Sample: 798
Baldwin(50.5%)
Hovde(45.4%)
4.1%
404
363
32
11/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
5%
216
211
22
11/4/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 450
Hovde(48.4%)
Baldwin(47.9%)
3.7%
525
520
40
11/3/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1086
Hovde(47.7%)
Baldwin(47.2%)
5.09999999999999%
381
377
40
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Baldwin(50.5%)
Hovde(48.6%)
0.899999999999999%
421
405
7
11/3/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text-to-Web
Sample: 835
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
4%
265
254
21
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 541
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
4%
652
600
52
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1305
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
4%
652
600
52
11/3/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1305
Baldwin(48.8%)
Hovde(48.3%)
2.90000000000001%
355
351
21
11/2/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 728
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
5%
384
376
40
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
5%
431
388
43
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 863
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
5%
431
388
43
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 863
Baldwin(53.6%)
Hovde(46.4%)
214
185
11/1/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
1%
678
638
13
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1330
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
1%
678
638
13
11/1/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1330
Baldwin(47.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
10%
390
357
83
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 831
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
6%
398
382
49
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 831
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(48.8%)
2.2%
329
328
14
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 673
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
Leager(0.0%)
Anderson(0.0%)
3%
294
288
0
0
18
10/31/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(49.0%)
425
408
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 834
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
1%
408
391
16
8
8
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 834
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(49.0%)
425
408
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 834
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
1%
417
383
16
8
8
10/30/24
Registered Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 834
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
4%
360
345
29
10/30/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web/Email/Mail-to-Web/Mail-to-Phone
Sample: 736
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
3%
294
288
18
10/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Baldwin(48.8%)
Hovde(48.0%)
3.2%
717
705
47
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 1470
Hovde(49.0%)
Baldwin(48.0%)
3%
392
384
24
10/29/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Baldwin(45.6%)
Hovde(44.2%)
Leager(1.6%)
Anderson(0.6%)
8%
228
221
8
3
39
10/28/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 500
Hovde(49.0%)
Baldwin(48.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
Leager(0.0%)
2%
294
288
6
0
12
10/25/24
Likely Voters
Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Baldwin(48.4%)
Hovde(47.7%)
3.9%
387
381
31
10/24/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
3%
542
531
33
10/23/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1108
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
4%
208
176
16
10/23/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 400
Hovde(48.5%)
Baldwin(48.1%)
3.4%
525
520
36
10/22/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1083
Baldwin(45.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
9%
279
273
6
6
55
10/21/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 622
Baldwin(49.3%)
Hovde(46.3%)
4.40000000000001%
459
431
41
10/20/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 932
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
6%
294
270
36
10/18/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
3%
393
369
23
10/17/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 787
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
7%
258
231
36
10/17/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 527
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(49.0%)
1%
401
393
8
10/15/24
Registered Voters
IVR
Sample: 803
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
5%
384
376
40
10/10/24
Likely Voters
Text
Sample: 800
Baldwin(49.8%)
Hovde(45.6%)
4.6%
498
456
46
10/10/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
4%
536
493
42
10/9/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1073
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
234
211
4
10/8/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 450
Baldwin(47.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
9%
250
223
5
5
47
10/7/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 533
Baldwin(53.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
1%
422
367
7
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 798
Baldwin(53.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
1%
422
367
7
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 798
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
2%
406
359
7
7
15
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 798
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
2%
406
359
7
7
15
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 798
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
4%
201
193
16
10/2/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 411
Baldwin(48.3%)
Hovde(46.0%)
5.7%
521
496
61
10/2/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1079
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
4%
392
376
32
10/1/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 800
Baldwin(54.1%)
Hovde(45.9%)
216
183
9/30/24
Likely Voters
App Panel
Sample: 400
Baldwin(48.2%)
Hovde(46.7%)
5.09999999999999%
519
502
54
9/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 1077
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
8%
340
285
54
9/28/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 680
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
7%
340
292
47
9/28/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 680
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
4%
401
354
31
9/27/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 788
Baldwin(46.0%)
Hovde(41.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
11%
276
245
6
6
66
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
4%
416
352
32
9/23/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 800
Baldwin(49.83%)
Hovde(43.22%)
6.95%
298
259
41
9/19/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 600
Baldwin(48.8%)
Hovde(46.1%)
5.1%
488
461
51
9/19/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
2%
620
549
23
9/19/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1194
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
1%
608
573
11
9/19/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1194
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
2%
548
505
21
9/18/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1075
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
3%
300
282
18
9/18/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(48.0%)
383
354
9/11/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 738
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
383
346
7
9/11/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 738
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
Leager(2.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
376
332
14
14
9/11/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 738
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
Leager(2.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
376
332
14
14
9/11/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 738
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
8%
449
394
73
9/10/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 917
Baldwin(46.0%)
Hovde(39.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
13%
287
244
6
6
81
9/10/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 626
Baldwin(49.09%)
Hovde(42.5%)
8.41%
313
271
53
9/9/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 638
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
7%
294
264
42
9/9/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
6%
482
406
56
9/9/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 946
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
4%
497
439
39
9/4/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 976
Baldwin(46.0%)
Hovde(41.0%)
Leager(1.0%)
Anderson(1.0%)
11%
309
275
6
6
73
8/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 672
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
9%
192
172
36
8/29/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 400
Baldwin(48.9%)
Hovde(47.7%)
3.4%
415
405
28
8/29/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 850
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
8%
488
409
78
8/15/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 976
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
7%
488
419
68
8/15/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 976
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
7%
202
173
28
8/15/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 404
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(41.0%)
9%
250
205
45
8/12/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 500
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
6%
337
284
39
8/10/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 661
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
5%
337
290
33
8/10/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 661
Baldwin(53.0%)
Hovde(46.0%)
1%
424
368
8
8/7/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 801
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
416
376
8
8/7/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 801
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(44.0%)
Leager(2.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
2%
400
352
16
16
16
8/7/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 801
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
Leager(2.0%)
Anderson(2.0%)
408
360
16
16
8/7/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 801
Baldwin(54.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
3%
564
449
31
7/26/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1046
Baldwin(48.5%)
Hovde(43.4%)
8.1%
409
366
68
7/25/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 845
Baldwin(51.0%)
Hovde(43.0%)
6%
279
235
32
7/22/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Text
Sample: 548
Baldwin(46.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
12%
276
252
72
7/16/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone/Online Panel
Sample: 600
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(41.0%)
10%
294
245
60
7/12/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 600
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(45.0%)
5%
300
270
30
7/9/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 600
Hovde(48.0%)
Baldwin(48.0%)
4%
284
284
23
7/10/24
Likely Voters
Sample: 593
Baldwin(50.0%)
Hovde(38.0%)
12%
245
186
58
7/7/24
Registered Voters
Online Ad
Sample: 490
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
407
368
7
6/26/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 784
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
407
368
7
6/26/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Email
Sample: 784
Baldwin(46.2%)
Hovde(43.7%)
10.1%
462
437
100
6/20/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(43.0%)
Hovde(38.0%)
19%
124
110
55
6/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 290
Baldwin(47.0%)
Hovde(39.0%)
14%
136
113
40
6/4/24
Likely Voters
IVR/Online Panel
Sample: 290
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(37.0%)
14%
246
186
70
5/30/24
Likely Voters
Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 503
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(40.0%)
11%
300
245
67
5/13/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 614
Baldwin(49.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
9%
300
257
55
5/13/24
Likely Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 614
Baldwin(54.0%)
Hovde(42.0%)
4%
786
611
58
5/8/24
Registered Voters
Live Phone
Sample: 1457
Baldwin(46.3%)
Hovde(42.8%)
10.9%
462
428
109
4/30/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(48.0%)
Hovde(41.0%)
11%
597
510
136
4/29/24
Registered Voters
Online Panel
Sample: 1245
Baldwin(52.0%)
Hovde(47.0%)
1%
367
332
7
4/17/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 707
Hovde(50.0%)
Baldwin(50.0%)
353
353
4/17/24
Likely Voters
Probability Panel
Sample: 707
Baldwin(44.8%)
Hovde(41.7%)
13.5%
447
417
135
3/21/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Email
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(46.2%)
Hovde(38.5%)
15.3%
462
385
152
2/27/24
Registered Voters
IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web/Email
Sample: 1000
Baldwin(47.0%)
Gallagher(46.0%)
7%
235
230
35
6/2/23
Likely Voters
Live Phone/Text-to-Web
Sample: 500